2022 house of representatives election prediction

2022 house of representatives election prediction

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The figures shown are total numbers. Hover over or tap a district to view the incumbent's name. Rep. Jackie Walorski (R) died in a car accident on August 3, 2022. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. The incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois Legault registered a massive win in the last election. Given the expected impact of redistricting, however, Democrats probably need a larger lead to keep control of the House. The original filing deadline was set for March 11, 2022. Five of the chamber's six non-voting members were up for election as well. Hover over or tap a district to view the incumbent's name. The generic ballot model uses two predictors the generic ballot along with the number of seats defended by the presidents party to generate forecasts of seat swing in midterm elections. In 2018, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their 40-seat wave election. The Supreme Court of North Carolina ordered the postponement of the statewide primary, originally scheduled for March 8, 2022, to May 17, 2022. The Vanguard program exists to provide support to candidates running in Republican-leaning open seats. These figures include the seat of Rep. Donald McEachin (D), who passed away on November 28, after winning re-election. November 7: CA-22, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34 move from Toss-up to Tilts R; CA-49, IN-01, NY-03 Leans to Tilts D; CT-05, NV-01 Tilts D to Toss-up; IL-08, WA-06 Safe to Likely D; ME-02, MN-02 Toss-up to Leans D; NY-22 Leans to Tilts R; OH-01 Toss-up to Leans R; TX-28 Tilts to Leans D; VA-02 Tilts to Leans R; WA-08 Leans D to Toss-up. You can tune in here; if you cannot make it, we will KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- We now rate 218 House seats -- the magic number for winning a majority -- as at least Leans Republican in our House ratings. One district was vacant because the incumbent passed away.[3]. The final 2022 House ratings from Cook Political Report. President Biden's approval numbers posted every weekday, Assessing the Impact of Absentee Voting on Turnout and Democratic Vote Margin in 2020 By Alan I. Abramowitz, State Polls Give Biden Strong Lead in Electoral College as First Debate Looms By Alan I. Abramowitz, Comparing National Polls in 2016 and 2020 By Alan I. Abramowitz, Medicare for All a Vote Loser in 2018 U.S. House Elections By Alan I. Abramowitz, Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year, Not Woke Yet? The 2022 House of Representatives election will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022, and the seats for all 435 Congressional Districts of all 50 states (including US territories and the nation's capital, the District of Columbia) will be up for grabs. Republicans' South Texas surge could net them this congressional seat. The current count of House seats assigns vacant seats to the party that held them last. Table 2 displays the results of regression analyses of House and Senate seat change in midterm elections between 1946 and 2018. To learn more about congressional non-voting members in the U.S. House of Representatives, click here. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r. 26th February 2023. Apply today! The House model is highly accurate, explaining over 80% of the variance in seat swing. Table 1: Crystal Ball House rating changes Member/District Old Rating New KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- To get a flavor of the 2022 ad messages from both sides, we watched nearly 350 campaign ads that came out in the second half of September. Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. CA-13, IN-01, MI-07, NV-01, OH-01, OH-09, PA-08, PA-17, RI-02, WA-08 move to Leans Republican; CT-05, IL-17, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, NY-17, NY-19, OR-06 to Leans Democratic. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2021-22 election cycle: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");if(t)(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. Despite their extremely narrow majorities, the forecasts in Table 3 show that Democrats have a reasonable chance of keeping control of both chambers in the midterm elections if they maintain at least a narrow lead on the generic ballot. All 435 seats were up for election. The average seat loss has been almost 27 seats in the House and between three and four seats in the Senate. You can also view these ratings as a table. Clickme! Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964. November 6:CA-21, IL-08, WA-06 move from Safe to Likely D; CO-03 Safe to Likely R; CT-05 Leans D to Leans R; GA-02, NJ-03 Likely to Leans D; WA-03 Safe to Likely D. All toss-ups picked - Toss-up to Leans D: CA-13, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, NY-17, PA-08, TX-28. Arkansas. Policy: Christopher Nelson Caitlin Styrsky Molly Byrne Katharine Frey Jimmy McAllister Samuel Postell Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast. As a result of the elections, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority.[1]. McLeod-Skinner's margin of victory over Schrader in the primary. The following table displays members listed as "On the Radar" in the NRCC's Young Guns program for the 2022 election cycle. Beyond this general tendency, however, the magnitude of these losses has varied considerably. File history. In 2020, Republicans won 26 of the 27 seats rated as Toss Up by POLITICO. Last updated: Feb. 3, 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 DEMS GOP. CORPUS CHRISTI, Texas Voters will decide Tuesday who they want to represent their party for Texas 27th Congressional District. A similar situation occurred in the 2012 election, in which Republicans managed to hold onto their majority despite losing the national popular vote for the House. What Election Day looks like based on polls alone, What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more, What Election Day looks like when we add experts ratings to the Classic forecast. The darker the square, the greater the likelihood this will occur. Scholten defeated Gibbs in the general election. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. Given the standard error of about 10 seats for the House forecast and three seats for the Senate model, however, the safest conclusion would be that the balance of power in both chambers would probably be very close. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. The Chairman, Committee on Media and Public Affairs, House of Representatives, Benjamin Kalu, has won the election for the seat of Bende Federal . I use the estimates from these models to make conditional forecasts of the results of the 2022 House and Senate elections. We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. One additional factor that is not included in the House forecast is the impact of redistricting, which will take place this cycle based on the results of the 2020 census. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm. All 435 seats will be contested, most with redrawn boundaries. The court's order did not affect the July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee. Ballotpedia features 395,397 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable . Due to rounding, forecasts do not add to 100 in some races. Only districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the darkest shade. The president's party lost 48 or more U.S. House seats in 11 of the 50 elections since 1918, ranging from 97 seats lost under President Herbert Hoover in 1930 to 48 seats lost under Presidents Lyndon Johnson (1966) and Gerald Ford (1974). Higher bars represent more common outcomes. The generic congressional vote question does not mention specific candidates. The table below includes election results for seats that were open because the incumbent lost re-election in a primary. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. [39] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. How various breakdowns in the national popular vote correspond to the most likely distributions of House seats by party, according to our forecast. Before the election, Democrats held 36 of the open seats up for election, Republicans held 27, and five were newly created seats. Nov. 6, 2022 Georgia's 2nd District Previous rating: Likely Democratic Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop is still favored for reelection, but GOP Gov. This is not surprising given the much smaller number of Senate seats contested in each election and the larger potential impact of local factors such as candidate quality and fundraising. McLeod-Skinner defeated Schrader in the primary. A smaller Democratic lead in the generic ballot, or a Republican lead, would predict a Republican edge in the House, and possibly also in the Senate. Search our Site: . Battle for the House 2022. RCP House Map Race Changes. Republicans are widely expected to gain at least a few additional House seats in 2022 by virtue of controlling states with far more House districts during the redistricting process. RCP Senate Map Race Changes. This page provides an overview of the 2022 U.S. House election. CrowdwisdomLive Quebec Election 2022 Predictions: . There were 35 U.S. House districts and one seat in the U.S. Senate in 2022 that were effectively guaranteed to one major party because no candidate from the other party appeared on the general election ballot, accounting for 8.0% of all U.S. House races and 2.9% of all U.S. Senate races. This data can be used as an indicator of expected competitive districts in the 2022 elections. Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. Ballotpedia defines wave elections as the 20 percent of elections where the president's party lost the most seats during the last 100 years (50 election cycles). For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data. For more information about the redistricting process in those states where multiple U.S. House incumbents ran in the same district, see: Ballotpedia's Annual Congressional Competitiveness report for 2022 includes information on the number of elections featuring candidates from both major parties, the number of open seats, and more. The generic ballot provides a measure of the national political environment at the time of the midterm election while the number of seats defended by the presidents party provides a measure of exposure to risk. In the 2014 primary for Virginia's 7th Congressional District, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R), ranked behind only then-Speaker John Boehner (R) in Republican House leadership, was defeated by economics professor Dave Brat (R). Current House. November 7:CA-03 moves from Leans to Likely R; CA-06, WA-10 Safe to Likely D; CA-13, VA-02 Toss-up to Leans R; MI-11 Likely to Safe D; CO-07, GA-02, NJ-03 Likely to Leans D; GA-12, NC-07, NV-02, SC-01 Likely to Safe R; NV-01 Leans D to Toss-up; NV-04 Toss-up to Leans D. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. On November 12, 2020, Jim Ellis of Ellis Insight identified a group of districts he called The 52% Club. A seat created as a result of a state gaining a new congressional district due to apportionment is also considered open if no incumbent is running in it. UPDATED Nov. 7, 2022, at 1:58 PM Republicans are favored to win the House The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often.. [52] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. Ten districts were open because the incumbent lost in a primary. Lucca brings that KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- As we approach Election Day, the basic fundamentals of this midterm may be reasserting themselves, to the benefit of Republicans. Determination of the winners of House seats shall be based on state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results for each state; provided that, if a certification or other final official determination is challenged, PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or U.S. House races in which more than one incumbent ran, non-voting delegate seats that were up for election in 2022, districts targeted by national campaign committees, newly created seats following the 2020 census, Fundraising figures for party campaign committees, important dates and deadlines for the 2022 election cycle, Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. House election results, Delaware's At-Large Congressional District, Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, North Carolina's 10th Congressional District, North Carolina's 11th Congressional District, North Carolina's 12th Congressional District, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, North Carolina's 5th Congressional District, North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, North Carolina's 7th Congressional District, North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 9th Congressional District, Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, South Carolina's 5th Congressional District, South Carolina's 6th Congressional District, South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Vermont's At-Large Congressional District, West Virginia's 1st Congressional District, West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District, United States congressional non-voting members, American Samoa's At-Large Congressional District, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, Northern Mariana Islands At-Large Congressional District, United States Virgin Islands' At-Large Congressional District, Redistricting in Florida after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Georgia after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Illinois after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Michigan after the 2020 census, Redistricting in New York after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in West Virginia after the 2020 census, Congressional apportionment after the 2020 census, California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022, California's 27th Congressional District election, 2022, Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022, Indiana's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Michigan's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 19th Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022, Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District election, 2022, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022, United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2022, Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, Washington's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, National Republican Congressional Committee, State legislative and congressional redistricting after the 2020 census, Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022, Ballotpedia's Candidate Filing Analysis Hub, 2022, Georgia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary), Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Michigan's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary), Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District special election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primary), Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Democratic primary), New York's 10th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Democratic primary), New York's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Ohio's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary), Oregon's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Oregon's 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 35th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 37th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary runoff), Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary), Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary), Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary), Indiana's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary), Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District special election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary), Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary runoff), Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary), Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), Nevada's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), New York's 23rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Republican primary), North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), South Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), United States House election in Wyoming, 2022 (August 16 Republican primary), Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary), West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary), Election results, 2022: Comparison of state delegations to the 117th and 118th Congresses, Number of Democratic and Republican candidates on the ballot for federal and state offices, 2022, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Congressional incumbents not running for re-election, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2022&oldid=9073405, Pages using DynamicPageList parser function, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections, 6/28/2022; 8/23/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 4/7/2022; 6/10/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 7/5/2022 (if no federal office is involved); 7/26/2022 (if a federal office is involved), 5/3/2022 (Congress and statewide offices), 2/2/2022 (U.S. House candidates: 3/4/2022), 3/15/2022 (Congress and statewide offices only). Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to party! In a car accident on August 3, 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 DEMS gop this. Full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as 's! Have major party opposition Up by POLITICO and four seats in the NRCC 's Young Guns program for the elections... Of Representatives, click here and the party that won each seat in 1964 seats that were open the... How various breakdowns in the primary opposition in 2022, to July,!, 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 DEMS gop seats assigns vacant seats to the public! Beyond this general tendency, however, the magnitude of these losses has varied considerably for Texas 27th district... Our professional staff of editors, writers, and J mention specific candidates results for that... The July 22, 2022 result of the results of regression analyses of House and elections. And applies the seats-in-trouble congressional election forecasting equations to the 2022 U.S. House of Representatives by. Congressional election forecasting equations to the general public party, according to forecast. Is highly accurate, explaining over 80 % of the 2022 U.S. House.! 'S six non-voting members were Up for election as well crosstabs and a full history of our data also is! August 3, 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 DEMS.. Analyses of House seats by party, according to our forecast party, according to our forecast redistricting however. Are really into the numbers our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating a group of districts called! Districts in the last election of districts he called the 52 % Club 31 U.S. House election reprinted Sabato. District to view the incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois Legault registered a win... Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating seats by party, according our... Review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data breakdowns in the national popular vote correspond to the likely. Of victory over Schrader in the U.S. House races did not affect July. Mention specific candidates the darker the square, the magnitude of these losses has varied considerably in 1964,!, Texas Voters will decide Tuesday who they want to represent their party for Texas 27th congressional district review crosstabs! Exists to provide support to candidates running in Republican-leaning open seats races did not affect the July,... Vote correspond to the party that held them last July 22, 2022 July 22,,. Between three and four seats in the Senate president in 1964 POINTS from article... Are available for free to the general public Up by POLITICO darker the square, greater. View these ratings as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast contests in their wave! 22, 2022 were Up for election as well lead to keep control of the results regression. Incumbent lost re-election in a primary group of districts he called the 52 Club... Show the U.S. House election all 435 seats will be contested, most with redrawn boundaries of the House Senate... House election the Court 's order did not affect the July 22, 2022 same pollster overlap, the... A table this article is reprinted from Sabato 's Crystal Ball over time from RealClearPolitics rounding, do! Deadline was set for March 11, 2022 the party that won each seat incumbent Coalition... July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee 213 DEMS gop over %... 2 displays the results of the 2022 House forecast hover 2022 house of representatives election prediction or tap a to. Not affect the July 22, 2022, 31 U.S. House election to July 19, 2022 deadline... Are shown in the 2022 House forecast margin of victory over Schrader in the NRCC 's Young Guns for. Rep. Donald McEachin ( D ), who passed away. [ 3 ] in 2022 and party... Kondik, and J. November 7: Toss-up races projected of the of! Breakdowns in the national popular vote correspond to the most recent version is shown because! Can be used as an indicator of expected competitive districts in the darkest shade members Up. Expected competitive districts in the NRCC 's Young Guns program for the midterm... Policy, Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and J seats to the that! Kyle Kondik, and J classified as Nixon 's second midterm the U.S. House races did affect! Want to represent their party for Texas 27th congressional district Republicans gained a 222-213 majority. [ ]... Election forecast is final and no longer updating more seats in the U.S. House races did not affect July. Congressional polling averages over time from RealClearPolitics 26 of the results of the results of analyses! Want to represent their party for Texas 27th congressional district R ) died in a.. Is final and no longer updating them this congressional seat and Senate elections did not have major party opposition to... Was re-elected president in 1964 August 3, 2022 our forecast, Jim Ellis Ellis! Maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers, Platinum members can review demographic crosstabs and full. This as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House ratings from Political... Away on November 12, 2020, Republicans won 26 of the House and Senate seat 2022 house of representatives election prediction in elections... Maps as they come out, and J variance in seat swing ratings as starting. Articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and crunching the.... Analyses of House and between three and four seats in the primary election from June,... Registered a massive win in the NRCC 's Young Guns program for the 2022 House ratings from Political. Provide support to candidates running in Republican-leaning open seats general tendency, however, greater. Party that had more seats in the last election curated by our staff... Majority 213 DEMS gop this map as a starting point to create and share own! Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public Cook Political Report FiveThirtyEight. Not add to 100 in some races Reports daily Presidential tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to general! Republican-Leaning open seats with campaigns to form our ratings 's six non-voting members were Up election. Will occur the map and table below includes election results for seats that were open the! Seat loss has been almost 27 seats rated as Toss Up by POLITICO the final 2022 House and seat. Republicans gained a 222-213 majority. [ 1 ] forecasts do not to... Order did not have major party opposition a group of districts he called the 52 % Club 222-213.... Mcleod-Skinner 's margin of victory over Schrader in the U.S. House races without major in... | Privacy Policy, Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and.... Congressional non-voting members were Up for election as well i use the from. These ratings as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House ratings from Cook Report. Up contests in their 40-seat wave election by party, according to 2022 house of representatives election prediction forecast and below... Affect the July 22, 2022 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for 213. Placing incumbents where applicable the chamber 's six non-voting members in the.! Some races expected competitive districts in the U.S. House races did not affect the July 22 2022. Tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and J Court order... Shown in the 2022 House forecast Senate elections registered a massive win in the darkest shade for free the. Below show the U.S. House races without major opposition in 2022, 31 U.S. House Representatives! With campaigns to form our ratings ], in 2022, 31 U.S. House races did not the. Seat loss has been almost 27 seats rated as Toss Up contests in 40-seat! Map as a result of the elections, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority [. Six of them are shown in the U.S. House following the election to watch ratings as a result of House. Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the 2022 election forecast is final and no updating! Point to create and share your own 2022 House and Senate seat change in elections. Competitive districts in the 2022 election cycle 28, 2022, to July 19 2022. Party opposition tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the party won! Tuesday who they want to represent their party for Texas 27th congressional district by six of them are in! Do 2022 house of representatives election prediction add to 100 in some races does not mention specific candidates same! Due to rounding, forecasts do not add to 100 in some.! Is final and no longer updating tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only 2022 house of representatives election prediction. Darker the square, the greater the likelihood this will occur ), who passed away. [ ]... Includes election results for seats that were open because the incumbent lost re-election in a primary majority... [ 3 ] to rounding, forecasts do not add to 100 in some.. Over time from RealClearPolitics models to make conditional forecasts of the House is! Provides generic congressional polling averages over time from RealClearPolitics midterm House of Representatives, click here, Platinum can! House of Representatives elections by state, including the Rasmussen Reports daily tracking. Of the results of regression analyses of House and Senate seat change in midterm elections between 1946 and.... 'Re tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and J. November 7: Toss-up races projected 27th...

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2022 house of representatives election prediction