2022 house of representatives election prediction
The figures shown are total numbers. Hover over or tap a district to view the incumbent's name. Rep. Jackie Walorski (R) died in a car accident on August 3, 2022. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. The incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois Legault registered a massive win in the last election. Given the expected impact of redistricting, however, Democrats probably need a larger lead to keep control of the House. The original filing deadline was set for March 11, 2022. Five of the chamber's six non-voting members were up for election as well. Hover over or tap a district to view the incumbent's name. The generic ballot model uses two predictors the generic ballot along with the number of seats defended by the presidents party to generate forecasts of seat swing in midterm elections. In 2018, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their 40-seat wave election. The Supreme Court of North Carolina ordered the postponement of the statewide primary, originally scheduled for March 8, 2022, to May 17, 2022. The Vanguard program exists to provide support to candidates running in Republican-leaning open seats. These figures include the seat of Rep. Donald McEachin (D), who passed away on November 28, after winning re-election. November 7: CA-22, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34 move from Toss-up to Tilts R; CA-49, IN-01, NY-03 Leans to Tilts D; CT-05, NV-01 Tilts D to Toss-up; IL-08, WA-06 Safe to Likely D; ME-02, MN-02 Toss-up to Leans D; NY-22 Leans to Tilts R; OH-01 Toss-up to Leans R; TX-28 Tilts to Leans D; VA-02 Tilts to Leans R; WA-08 Leans D to Toss-up. You can tune in here; if you cannot make it, we will KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- We now rate 218 House seats -- the magic number for winning a majority -- as at least Leans Republican in our House ratings. One district was vacant because the incumbent passed away.[3]. The final 2022 House ratings from Cook Political Report. President Biden's approval numbers posted every weekday, Assessing the Impact of Absentee Voting on Turnout and Democratic Vote Margin in 2020 By Alan I. Abramowitz, State Polls Give Biden Strong Lead in Electoral College as First Debate Looms By Alan I. Abramowitz, Comparing National Polls in 2016 and 2020 By Alan I. Abramowitz, Medicare for All a Vote Loser in 2018 U.S. House Elections By Alan I. Abramowitz, Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year, Not Woke Yet? The 2022 House of Representatives election will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022, and the seats for all 435 Congressional Districts of all 50 states (including US territories and the nation's capital, the District of Columbia) will be up for grabs. Republicans' South Texas surge could net them this congressional seat. The current count of House seats assigns vacant seats to the party that held them last. Table 2 displays the results of regression analyses of House and Senate seat change in midterm elections between 1946 and 2018. To learn more about congressional non-voting members in the U.S. House of Representatives, click here. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r